Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Grading Obama at 100 days

Let me also jump on the 100 days bandwagon even though the White House has called this a "Hallmark holiday," they themselves seem to be readying for it with a prime time news conference scheduled for Wednesday night preceded by a town-hall meeting with the President in St. Louis. The 100 days mark also matters because it allows us to gauge what kind of President Obama promises to be. This is how I would grade him--you are welcome to chime in.

Economy: A-
In the first 100 days he has passed the biggest stimulus bill in the American history and the stimulus is already having affects. Just yesterday, the NYT reported that the people in the small economically depressed Indiana town Anderson are feeling more optimistic about the overall economy, and the city's mayor can begin many reconstruction projects. Our own university budget is not being rescinded 3% (a standard operating procedure during the disastrous Blago tenure), but it is actually being increased 1%. The reason I would give him a - is because the stimulus was stripped of considerable punch by the so-called "moderate Republicans," and the President necessarily had to go along with this. At the same time, however, the plan to fix the housing market seems to be working: the home sales are up, the cost of refinancing mortgages is at its historic low and has triggered a flood of refinancing and seems to have slowed the rate of foreclosures. Further, Giethner's long-criticized plan to save the banking system also seems to be working: Wells Fargo posted its best profit last month and many banks seem to be doing much better. The rallying of the Wall Street in the past few weeks suggest that we at long last may have reached the bottom of the recession.


Foreign Policy: B
Obama has drastically shifted gears from the horrors of the previous administration. He has followed through on his campaign promise to do more listening than talking in the world, to talk to our enemies, and to be more respectful of other points of view. Our relationship with both Cuba and Venezuela seems to be thawing: there are major discussions in the works between the US and Cuba and Hugo Chavez is going to send the Venezuelan ambassador to the US. Obama's popularity in the world, particularly in Europe, has done wonders for our relations. His performance on the world stage has been superb. However, I am very worried about his decision to escalate the fighting in Afghanistan: it seems that Afghanistan is becoming his Iraq and I just can't see what good can come out of it. At the same time, Iraq is almost destined to spiral down into violence once we leave: already the violence is ratcheting up as Maliki is becoming increasingly sectarian, provoking a reaction from the disaffected Sunni exiles who are funding the insurgency. In short, the Iraq quagmire remains just that: a horrible quagmire out of which I see no exit.

Changing America's image in the world: A+
I really think Obama has done a superb job on changing the image of our country in the world. On the second day in office, Obama banned all "enhanced interrogation" techniques (read: torture) that the Bush administration had used with impunity; he has ordered the closing of Guantanamo, and has re-instituted the rule of the Geneva Conventions in our treatment of detainees. His performance on the world stage (as I said above) has been nothing short of superb and he has followed through on every single campaign promise in terms of changing America's image in the world.

Restoring the Constitution: C
I am afraid this is where he gets lowest marks from me. While he did change the direction of our country, Obama has also been lukewarm at best and politically cowardly at worst in reversing the serious damage the Bush administration had done to our Constitution. In particular, he has been very disappointing with restoring the habeaus corpus to detainees, arguing that those at the Bagram prison in Afghanistan do not have the right to due process that our Constitution guarantees. Further, his continuing defense of the wiretapping program that he voted for while a candidate is really worrisome. He needs to completely restore the habeus corpus to everyone and outlaw warantless wiretapping. Finally, probably the most worrisome thing about his restoration of the Constitution has been his lukewarm support for holding the torturers-in-chief accountable for their grave violations of our laws. His support for a "bipartisan Commission" is a transparent political ploy to push the issue out of the White House. He needs to step back and allow Eric Holder of the Justice Dept to appoint a Special Prosecutor who will investigate these potential war crimes. Obama's mantra that he is interested in "looking forward, not looking backward" drives me nuts because it doesn't mean anything! Looking forward is impossible without looking backward because it would mean that the words in our laws and our Constitution mean nothing and can be violated at will.

Restoring America's confidence: A+
This is another area where he gets the highest marks. The polls show the country is generally optimistic about the direction we are taking (compared to only 28% who thought we were going in the right direction during the last thralls of the Bush regime). Obama's approval rating stands at the historic high of 69%, which is higher than Reagan's at this time, and all of his predecessors, with the exception of Eisenhower. This morning the NYT also reported that Obama is changing the perception of race relations in this country with more than half seeing the conditions of race relations improved and the number of black Americans who think so has nearly doubled since July! The mood of the country is extremely important not just for our economy, but for the very soul of our country. What is particularly a positive development of Obama's young presidency is the shift in the public perception of the role of government in our lives. People increasingly view the government as the solution and not as the problem (as Reagan idiotically claimed!). Obama's budget priorities coupled with the stimulus are making the government cool again. This might give Obama the necessary public support to push through the long overdue health care reform and move the country to the left.

So for the most part, Obama has kept his campaign promises. His personal favoribility ratings are also at a historic high: 74% and Michelle Obama's are 85%! The image of the first family in the White House has also done wonders for America's image in the world.

7 comments:

Werner Herzog's Bear said...

I'm with you on most of this, but the banking profits (and executive salaries) going up bespeaks of business as usual. If the regulation of the financial sector is not improved, we will have another burst bubble again soon.

Blue Collar Todd said...

There is a growing spiritual darkness in America that has resulted from the election of Barack Obama as President. A darkness that comes from mixing Marxist philosophy with Christian terminology and such a mixture is dangerous.

Fedja said...

Blue collar, your comment is truly illogical: name one example of Obama's supposed "Marxist philosophy." And of this "spiritual darkness." If anything this darkness was widespread during the Bush years when the highest officials of our government authorized brutal torture! Now, that is some pretty dark s--t!

Brian Healy said...

In response to the Changing America's image in the world

Isn't the Geneva convention for combatants that are following the customs and laws of war? They also must wear a "fixed distinctive marking, visible from a distance".

A terrorist does not meet these qualifications and therefore should not expect protection under the Geneva convention.

Fedja said...

Brian, not true. The Article 3 of the Geneva Conventions stipulates that these protections should apply to "all cases of declared war or of ANY OTHER ARMED CONFLICT which may arise between two or more of the High Contracting Parties even if the state of war is not recognized by one of them." This is a pretty all-encompassing article.

In case you cannot distinguish between combatants and the civilians, the invading force is obligated to convene the Article 5 hearings which are designed to figure out who are the civilians and who are the combatants. The Article 5 hearings had been common in the US military code of justice until the Bush regime completely abolished them.

So no, the Geneva Conventions were designed specifically to apply to as many categories of people possible. It was the political decision of the Bush administration lawyers to violate the conventions under the cloud of a legal memo. This pretty clearly constitutes a war crime, which is a felony under US law punishable up to life imprisonment. The law and the facts are pretty clear in this case.

Brian said...

I am by no means a Bush lover or apologist, in fact I think he is an idiot and is in the top 3 pf worst presidents we have had. I don't think we should bring him up on war crimes though, as it was not just his lawyers who felt this way. Someone that is pushing for these war crime charges had a different take earlier in his career. I just don't appreciate the double standards, that's all.

Talking with CNN's Paula Zahn in 2002, Holder had a different take on who fell under the Geneva Conventions:

ZAHN: When you have Secretary of State Powell saying, "Let's abide by the Geneva Convention," and then folks on the other side, we are told, saying "Wait a minute. If we hold them to that kind of status, then all they'll be required to give us is their name, rank and file number."

HOLDER: Yes, it seems to me this is an argument that is really consequential. One of the things we clearly want to do with these prisoners is to have an ability to interrogate them and find out what their future plans might be, where other cells are located; under the Geneva Convention that you are really limited in the amount of information that you can elicit from people.

Fedja said...

Brian, no doubt there were Democrats, like Holder at that time, who went along, but this was a crime. And there were many internal dissenters, including lawyers and FBI director Muller, who were warning the CIA and the Bush administration that they were committing a war crime. Also when Holder made that statement he was not our Attorney General and he is now. As a result, he has the constitutional obligation to uphold the Constitution and the rule of law and in this case that means appointing a special prosecutor and if she/he finds some Dems involved in this mess, fine. I don't care if it is Dems or Republicans, the bottom line is serious crimes seem to have been committed in our collective name.