Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Obama is the front-runner!

After winning ten states in a row Obama is definitely the Democratic front-runner. No amount of spin from the Hillary camp can turn the situation around by using this absurd logic that because Hillary was expecting to have a bad month of February, his wins are somehow less valuable. Just look at the numbers: Obama has won 24 states to Hilary's 13 states, and he has 1319 delegates to Hillary's 1245. Since the Democratic party allocates candidates in a proportional manner, Obama is bound to pick up a huge number of delegates in Ohio and Texas March 4 even if Hillary wins these states. And the latest polls show a statistical dead heat between Obama and Hillary despite Hillary leading with a double digit lead just a week or so ago. What is most significant is that Obama has cut into Hillary's base: white, blue-collar men as well as white women, and a significant portion of Latinos are moving in his direction. So, I have been thrilled to see Obama emerge as an undisputed front-runner as I believe he is not only the best candidate, but an amazing person.

Now, the main reason I decided to write this post is the idiocy of the so-called pundits (with notable few exceptions). Their stubborness in not declaring Obama the front-runner is mind boggling. Just last night "a Democratic strategist" said that even if Hillary loses Wisconsin, it will be a bump for her, but she looks ahead to Texas and Ohio and there Obama has his hands full. Mind you, this "expert" was not a member of the Hillary campaign. So, how many more states and delegates does Obama have to pick up, and how much more convincingly does he have to wipe the floor with Hillary in order to be ordained the front-runner. These pundits have been wrong on almost every single aspect of Obama's campaign and what is especially fascinating is that they still have a job.

Another thing that has made my blood boil has been the cynical attempt of Hillary to make Michigan and Florida votes count. Now, if the party wants to organize some sort of caucus or even primaries in these states and let the candidates compete, go for it. People should be heard in these states as well despite the idiotic behavior of their states' Democratic parties. But for Hillary to want the results of the primaries to count despite the fact that Obama was not even on the ballot in Michigan and did not campaign in Florida, is just morally wrong. If she wins this fight fair and square, I will vote for her in November, but if she wins because of Michigan and Florida, I am definately staying away from the polls come November. This kind of behavior really gives credence to the accusations leveled at her that she would do almost anything to win.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

I agree that Obama is definitely rolling over Hilary at this point, but remember this: If Hilary DOES win TX and OH, that might slow down Obama's momentum or even turn momentum in her favor. You know how media is. They can turn that around in a second, and you also know how gullible most of the American public is. They will see that shit on TV and say:"wow momentum is turning. I better vote for her now"! If that's the case delegate count will not matter at the moment.

Fedja said...

Oh I am definately not ruling the Clintons out until the moment she concedes. But even if she wins Ohio and Texas, despite any "momentum" this might give her, Obama will be leading by many delegates and the superdelegates will be under incredible pressure to vote for him since he really does seem like a more electable candidate at this point. But in either way, if this goes beyond Ohio and Texas, it is potentially damaging to the party.

Cyril Crozier said...

I will not vote for Hillary either if that is the case. If it she was running against Huckabee, or Santorum, or Guiliani, or Goebbels, or some other Christo-fascist from the Republican side, I would pinch my nose and cast my vote for the Clinton dynasty. But if Hillary wins, it might not even be worth the effort to go out and vote for her against McCain (which is not to say I would support McCain, I don't). I'm really repulsed, not just by the Clintons, but by their entire crowd, the Carvilles, ect. Its one of those weird things that both the Left and the Right share; utter disgust at their cynical real politik and utter inauthenticity.